What was. What will. With prognostic greetings.


As always, the Hal Faber newsreel would like to sharpen the eye for the details: The Sunday newsreel is commentary, outlook and analysis. It is both a backward and a forward look.

*** "Yes, where is nowhere? Well, where should it be? Which nowhere? Which of the many thousands and hundreds of thousands, millions and trillions of nowhere that have been and will be as long as man is something other than an automatic machine , as a self-actuator of flesh and blood? " (Wilhelm Liebknecht, 1892)

The quote from Wilhelm Liebknecht is from his translation of the novel "Customer from nowhere" by the British William Morris.

They are all there, the whole flock of birds. Everyone cheers, swirls, tiril, what a lie and make music, the future now wants to march in, comes with great gushes. And everyone already knows what the future holds. The futurist guild does not say a word and talks about what Coronazeius has to offer. "That is why after Corona we will concentrate even more on the essentials and will simply forget all the frivolity that a carefree life brings about," says the trend researcher Mattias Horx, who gives us one Forecast offers for the fall of 2020 after the forecasts do not really work out. The Horx, born in 1955, who is one of the baby boomers, leaves it up to each reader what is the "essential" and what belongs to the recycling bin as the "whole frill". Unfortunately, in his trend forecasts there is no indication of what could trigger a pandemic, but we have the pretty forecast of 2010 that no one will talk about Facebook in five to six years. Let us not be unfair: his judgment in 1986 in his main work "Writing and Chips" that Microsoft Word is the most horrific DOS word processor saved many people from Microsoftization – but then Windows came.

*** Could you have known beforehand? Yes, you would listen to Bill Gates. Already in 2015 he warned of a pandemic that his world could destroy. But there were other clues that can be achieved without a paywall, such as the report from the LÜKEX exercise from 2007, a staff framework exercise in which the communication of the supply chains was tested with two scenarios. Up to 3000 people took part in this huge desk maneuver. The most aggressive of three possible scenarios, which the Robert Koch Institute specified at that time, was expected to result in 21 million sufferers and a total mortality of more than 170,000 deaths. Back then it was nicely described as we practice flu. The futurologist didn't say a word: "The dramatic consequences go far beyond the sheer number of deaths and illnesses. The hospitals themselves would become contagion centers. Because the hospitals are not adequately equipped with NBC protective suits and an effective vaccine would not be available until weeks after the pandemic began, doctors and nurses can reserve part of their hospital beds for themselves immediately. Due to the high level of sickness, the supply of antiviral medicines collapses, which means that the sick can no longer be treated medically. The fears of the as yet not yet ill unloaded This would not only make everyday goods scarce; in particular, the security authorities expect a shortage of specific products (disinfectants, over-the-counter medicines, personal ABC protective equipment, etc.).

*** In the situation we are in now, it would be nice if people in the political leadership with scientific knowledge knew this Overview of a doctor, perhaps supplemented by numbers for Germany, would be read in a calm voice. Unfortunately, during her long term, Chancellor Angela Merkel put science aside and can only make weak appeals. Unfortunately, scientific texts are long and exceed a lot of attention budgets. Then it is better to have a PR agency like Story machine to commission a study like that Heinsberg protocol to market as a glimmer of hope. Because the 0.37 percent of those infected who die according to this information are far below the 1.6 percent that were calculated by other scientists. The last number would amount to 360,000 deaths in Germany and would unnecessarily worry the population.

*** Would you rather listen to the futurologist and search for the essentials? This week, a particularly forward-looking work was mentioned in the news ticker, the forecast published in 1900 by John Elfreth Watkins, which he titled What may happen in the next 100 years published. Cameras and telephones that electrically connect the whole world, medicine for lung diseases that is injected directly into the lungs or applied electrically. Penalties for traders if food is contaminated by the breath of passers-by. But hack, no computers cloud the picture and space flights are also unknown. The artificial people who haunted literature in the 18th century did not appear and wars were overcome. But not for long: In 1909, H.G. Wells with Marie Curie's research and wrote the more realistic future study The World Set Free, in which a war with atomic bombs was predicted and in which Berlin is irradiated.

*** What Watkins painted for the year 2000 is hardly understandable from today, if one does not know the tremendous success that Edward Bellamy had in 1888 with his Review 2000-1887 scored. The book was a bestseller like only Uncle Tom's cabin. Over 160 were formed in the United States Bellamy clubsto discuss America's transition to state socialism, in which everyone had to work in an industrial army on an equal basis up to the age of 45. At Bellamy, payment is made with a kind of credit card, purchases are made in large department store cooperatives that deliver the goods directly to the front door. People eat in public kitchens; music is enjoyed on the recently invented telephone that you use to call an orchestra of your choice that plays 24 hours a day. Medical care is free, but the most important thing is free education for everyone. Bright minds choose topics and interests themselves at Bellamy, the others should go to school until the knowledge of citizenship is in place.

*** The state as the only employer and over-capitalist particularly annoyed the German Social Democrats Karl Kautsky blasphemed about the fiscal exploitation of state proletarians by capitalists as a kind of higher state officials. "Die Neue Zeit", the newspaper of the SPD, printed the counter-novel Nowhere customer of the British William Morris, translated by Wilhelm Liebknecht. In the novel, which also takes place in 2000, a global revolution starting from Trafalgar Square in London in 1952 ended capitalism, smashing the big cities and the churches. There is no longer any industrial production, people live in rural areas from the re-valued craft, the exchange of goods takes place via "power boats" based on the British narrowboats on the canals that run through the country.
"Humans are part of nature, but a part that has not yet found a stable niche in the ecology of the biosphere. Such a niche must be found, whatever conventional economists teach about the need for economic growth; this is simply impossible. Sooner or later later on, mankind must have a stable, sustainable relationship with the rest of nature, in which what is taken from the biosphere is in balance with its capacity to renew what has been taken out, because in fact such a balance can only be found within a communist society possible, Morris communism remains not only a practical solution to the problem of how to rationally satisfy human needs, but also an urgent need if the human species is to survive in harmony with the rest of nature. "

It doesn't get more romantic. One hundred years after Bellamy and Morris, the year 2000 was very different. Yes, self-driving cars were conceivable, but also eating and breeding dogs, all of course in the best capitalism ever. For Easter, let's see how the workers 'and farmers' state imagined the future.

From the film by Joachim Hellwig. How the future was imagined in the workers 'and farmers' states.

In this case, the view goes from 1972 to 2002, when the Dear computer-controlled organized partner choice. The computer is a kind of egg and the dancing women willing to mate insert their identification card so that the real boy can be calculated. At some point the oh-so modern Schönefeld Airport will come, but even there it cannot be clarified what will be with love in 30 years. Even visiting a disco does not produce "results in the artistic design of future socialist ideas in the film". Maybe you'd better go back to Easter world on wire watch in all this simulationitis.


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